Looking for a way to discovering a winning gamble at a horse track? This write-up will give details on how to create chances and then go for a good and profitable stake. Horse players are always talking about probability and good value bets, but how do you know when a bet is a good value bet?
It takes figures and experience. If you approach horse racing handicapping and betting as a business you'll have a better chance of succeeding. You must also understand how races are written by the racing secretary for a particular reason.Race tracks are in the entertainment business and you can exploit that if you know how. Do you think that all races are created the same? Think again.Some are easier to stake and some are more difficult. The secret to making huge gain in this type of game is not just to select sure horses,
but to select those who will definitely reward well.Normally when I bet, I always consider getting value for my money from each of the winners, rather than having a particular winner in mind. There is a resort called Saratoga, a large race arena where skillful trainers and good horses gather yearly.One of the most vital things to bear in mind about Saratoga is that the horses really love to run. For example; on the 31st of July 2013, race 1 was for $20,000 non winners of three who were claiming a competition to be contested over one.
I quickly discovered the skills of these three horses and checked my chances on them. Out of these three, two horses had won both at Saratoga and at the distance. The two horses are called 1, Ea and the 5, Sinorice. For the purpose of this article, our center of attention will be on these three.The first one which is Ea was resuming after a period of suspension of about ninety days but nevertheless, my choice of win. David Jacobson who is the trainer only has an average of 12percent average with horses that have been discharged from duty over a long period of time, so I decided not to hope on that horse for a win. Another trainer, Javier Castellano was also up in the irons and he has an 18% regular win in routes.
I then checked if Ea had a 20percent chance of winning so I created my sure chances of 4-1. Two wins in 10 races at $2 per race would definitely result in $20 repayment for $20 in bets.After that, another horse was called Sovereign Default, the 4 horse another Jacobson horse which was not included in the event. Though Sovereign Default hadn't won at the distance or Saratoga I made it my top choice at 2-1 with 35 percent of my 8percent pool. It had an intimidating running style which placed it on the lead and was also dropping in class. Though coming back from a break, it was a shorter break than Ea and Jacobson which has a 26 percent average with such horses who have been off between 46-90 days.
The third competitor was Sinorice with it’s trainer, Nick Zito with a 33percent average. Sinorice recorded a win both at the track and distance. Now, I had to take advantage of the chances I have got which was 3-1 odds even though I used to believe that Default had more advantage based on latest speed, at the same time, I also liked Sinorice’s probability on winning.It became challenging to find the worth in my chances of winning. The Professional Syndicate chances at the time of placement were 1 = 5/2 because
I believed that this was no value and then I agreed on the horse 4 = even odds that fluctuated between 6/5 and even. This is a terrible price for a racer that have never even proven it could win at the track and distance) I eventually staked on the 5 and it won and paid me $13.40. Now, this is a great value bearing in mind that all the pluses this horse had before going for it.With constant application of skills, a determined horse player can develop the cleverness of estimating probability and assigning his own morning line chances that will provide value.
Also, with the control to still stay with the probability that will make a huge gain, the horse player has a chance to be victorious and be on top in this very uncertain and hard game.In addition, if you really want to win a horse race, try to evaluate the race and then the runners. You’ll have to establish a hierarchy and then determine your key horse(s) and what the actual probability is of that horse winning the race. Also, use figures as well as experience. This strategy will really give a horse player an idea of winning the game. It's not an exact science and judgment is part of the game.